Politics
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malcolm_Fraser
The USA: Australia's
Dangerous Ally
Australia should not embrace America, writes its former prime minister, but preserve itself from Washington’s reckless overreach.
By Malcolm Fraser
December 17, 2014 "ICH" - "NI" - IT IS time for Australia to end its strategic dependence on the United States. The relationship with America, which has long been regarded as beneficial, has now become dangerous to Australia’s future. We have effectively ceded to America the ability to decide when Australia goes to war. Even if America were the most perfect and benign power, this posture would still be incompatible with the integrity of Australia as a sovereign nation. It entails not simply deference but submission to Washington, an intolerable state of affairs for a country whose power and prosperity are increasing and whose national interests dictate that it enjoy amicable, not hostile, relations with its neighbors, including China.
Australia should not embrace America, writes its former prime minister, but preserve itself from Washington’s reckless overreach.
By Malcolm Fraser
December 17, 2014 "ICH" - "NI" - IT IS time for Australia to end its strategic dependence on the United States. The relationship with America, which has long been regarded as beneficial, has now become dangerous to Australia’s future. We have effectively ceded to America the ability to decide when Australia goes to war. Even if America were the most perfect and benign power, this posture would still be incompatible with the integrity of Australia as a sovereign nation. It entails not simply deference but submission to Washington, an intolerable state of affairs for a country whose power and prosperity are increasing and whose national interests dictate that it enjoy amicable, not hostile, relations with its neighbors, including China.
As painful as a
reassessment of relations may be for intellectual and policy elites, there are
four principal reasons why one is long overdue. First, despite much blather
about a supposed unanimity of national purpose, the truth is that the United
States and Australia have substantially different values systems. The idea of
American exceptionalism is contrary to Australia’s sense of egalitarianism.
Second, we have seen the United States act in an arbitrary, imprudent and
capricious fashion. It has made a number of ill-advised and ill-informed
decisions concerning Eastern Europe, Russia and the Middle East. Third, at the
moment, because of U.S. military installations in Australia, if America goes to
war in the Pacific, it will take us to war as well—without an independent
decision by Australia. Finally, under current circumstances, in any major
contest in the Pacific, our relationship with America would make us a strategic
target for America’s enemies. It is not in Australia’s interest to be in that
position.
American fecklessness
has produced this state of affairs. As the recent twenty-fifth anniversary of
the fall of the Berlin Wall reminds us, the breakup of the Soviet Union created
a different world. It was a world bursting with opportunity, as was first described
by President George H. W. Bush in a speech to Congress after the first Gulf
War. Bush was then talking about a new world, one in which there would be much
greater cooperation between nations large and small. It was the kind of speech
that many people worldwide wanted to hear from an American president.
However,
the purposes and commitment expressed in that speech were to be cut short. The
presidents that followed—Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama—may have
differed in tone but not in substance. They have all adhered to the illusion of
American omnipotence.
It was Morton Abramowitz
of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a former U.S. ambassador and
one of the prime movers in establishing the International Crisis Group, who
wrote in 2012 that “American exceptionalism dooms U.S. foreign policy.” Nothing
has altered since then. Even President Obama has embraced the idea of
exceptionalism, telling the UN General Assembly in 2013, “I believe America is
exceptional.” A nation better than any other, innately motivated to do good;
what America does is right because America does it. The idea of American
exceptionalism, which has always been present in the United States, has gone
far beyond all comprehension in the years of America’s absolute supremacy. It
has created a different nation, a different society. Such ideas influence
American foreign policy in ways that make it much more difficult to achieve a
secure and safe path in the future. Our task is not to embrace America, but to
preserve ourselves from its reckless overreach.
THIS IS not a message
that the Australian government appears to endorse. The 2014 Australian Defence
Issues Paper, for example, suggests we have shared values with the United
States. This is nonsense. America’s views of itself have no part in Australia’s
values system. They represent an important point of difference between the
United States and Australia. They affect the United States’ strategic thinking
and policies and drive America in directions that at times have not been in
Australia’s interest.
No doubt our alliance
with the United States made sense in the Cold War years. The Soviet Union was
regarded as a global Communist threat. The battlegrounds of the Cold War
spanned the world, including in our own region. Australia, with limited
resources, was quite correct in wanting a close association with a major power
in these circumstances.
Ending the Communist
threat was only one consequence of the breakup of the Soviet Union. A greater
one, perhaps, was the absolute supremacy of the United States as a military and
economic power. Before that time, each superpower acted as a restraint on the
other. Neither wanted a nuclear war, and both took care to avoid the kind of
provocations that would inevitably lead to war. After 1991, the United States
was under no such restraint. Russia was down for the count, so far as global
influence was concerned.
After the breakup of the
Soviet Union, it was a time for generosity. Recalling the spirit of the
Marshall Plan and the post–World War II enlightenment, it was a moment for
magnanimity to prevail; it was not a time to revive the spirit of Versailles
and exact vengeance on a fallen foe.
Unfortunately, Europe and the United
States chose the wrong path. Many ways could have been found at that time to
secure the independence of states freed from Soviet domination. NATO and the
United States chose what turned out to be the most dangerous and provocative
mechanism, and worked to include much of Eastern Europe within the confines of
NATO itself. This approach ignored history and past strategic relationships.
The results speak for themselves.
There were many who
opposed the movement of NATO eastward. Mikhail Gorbachev had been particularly
concerned, and he believed he had a deal with Secretary of State James Baker
for NATO not to move east. Today, Russia believes that “agreement” was broken.
Russia’s acceptance of the reunification of Germany was supposed to be the quid
quo pro for NATO not marching eastward. But it did.
The point of all of this
for Australia is that the United States—not for the first and surely not for
the last time—exhibited a marked lack of historical understanding as well as an
inability to exercise effective diplomacy and make choices that would provide
for a lasting peace. There should have been more sustained attempts to make
sure that Russia would be a collaborative and cooperative partner. As some
commentators in the United States have argued, the West bears significant
responsibility for more recent developments in Ukraine, based on that one major
and tragically mistaken strategic decision to move NATO east. The United States
must recognize the impact of its decisions in the difficulties that have
ensued.
Throughout this past
year we have seen turbulence in Ukraine, the annexation of Crimea and actions
that have soured Western relations with Russia even further. There has been no
understanding of the historical circumstances, no attempt to act in ways that
might increase trust. This has been a continuation of a Cold War mentality,
with dramatic and unfortunate results.
President Vladimir Putin and Russia have
been roundly condemned for the annexation of Crimea, but if Russia had not done
so and if the United States had been successful in getting Ukraine to join
NATO, the West would have faced a far larger problem. No Russian president
would simply surrender the military facilities in Crimea. If Crimea, as part of
Ukraine, became part of NATO, the alliance would have required those facilities
to be removed. This is a demand that Russia could never accept. So Russian
actions in relation to Crimea, as former West German chancellor Helmut Schmidt
has said, should have been understandable and are not deserving of the
intemperate obloquy that they have attracted from Western commentators.
Instead of trying to
induce Ukraine (and, in earlier times, Georgia) to join NATO, the United States
should have been asking itself what is necessary if Ukraine is to become one
country, cohesively and sensibly governed. Clearly, both the pro-Western and
pro-Russian factions in Ukraine would need to learn the art of compromise, to
know that neither can have it all. If they wanted their young country to become
a cohesive, peaceful land, then the art of compromise would have had to be
practiced by both sides. This could have been possible if the West and Russia
had both taken the same view…
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