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Sunday, December 28, 2014

Politics
Jeb Bush leads GOP 2016 field: Poll
BY ZACK COLMAN | DECEMBER 28, 2014 | 10:52 AM 
Photo - Jeb Bush is the front-runner for the Republican ticket in 2016, according to a new poll. (Photo by Mark Wilson/Getty images)
Jeb Bush is the front-runner for the Republican ticket in 2016, according to a new poll. (Photo...

Jeb Bush is the front-runner for the Republican ticket in 2016, according to a new poll.
The former Florida governor was backed by 23 percent of respondents in a CNN/ORC poll. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie came in second, with 13 percent; physician Ben Carson grabbed 7 percent; and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul and ex-Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee both tallied 6 percent.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan each scored 5 percent, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz polled at 4 percent.
Bush is one of the few candidates in the field to announce he's exploring a presidential run.
Of the Democratic respondents polled, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was the runaway favorite at 66 percent, followed by Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 9 percent.
In head-to-head match-ups with Clinton, it's Bush who fared best out of the GOP field. The poll found he'd grab 41 percent of the vote compared to Clinton's 54 percent. Ryan was the second-best, falling behind Clinton in a 56-41 split.
Whether some of Bush's policies would satisfy the conservative GOP base remains a question. He's supported allowing some illegal immigrants to stay in the United States and Common Core education standards, both of which are opposed by many conservatives. State spending also increased under Bush's watch as Florida's governor.
But the poll showed that Bush might be able to overcome those positions.
Forty-two percent of respondents said Bush's illegal immigration stance — that allowing some illegal immigrants stay in the U.S. with their families is an "act of love" — makes them less likely to back him, but another 38 percent said it made no difference.
GOP primary voters were also split on Common Core, with 38 percent saying Bush's support for the education standards made them less likely to support him, while 39 percent said it made no difference.
And 49 percent said it didn't matter that Florida spending rose under Bush compared with 40 percent who said it did. Similarly, 43 percent of respondents said it didn't matter that Bush hasn't signed the same pledge as nearly all House Republicans have backed to resist raising any taxes, compared with 38 percent who said it made them less likely to back Bush.
The poll of 1,011 adults was conducted Dec. 18-21 through landlines and cell phones. Of those surveyed, 453 were Republicans and 469 Democrats. The poll carried a 3 percentage-point margin of error.


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