Poll results

Voters See Trump’s Reelection Far More Likely Than Impeachment

Voters think President Trump has more to lose in the growing Ukraine controversy than leading Democratic presidential hopeful Joe Biden, but they still see Trump’s reelection as a surer shot than impeachment.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters think Trump is more likely than Biden to be found guilty of breaking the law in his dealings with Ukrainian officials. Thirty-four percent (34%) say Biden is more likely to be the culprit. Six percent (6%) believe both men are likely to be found guilty of criminal wrongdoing. Eight percent (8%) say neither is likely to be found guilty. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

But 46% think it’s more likely that Trump will be reelected in 2020 than defeated by the Democratic nominee or impeached, unchanged from late July.

Twenty-eight percent (28%) see a win by the Democrats’ candidate as more likely, down from 33% two months ago. Seventeen percent (17%) believe Trump is likely to be impeached before serving his full term in office, up from 11% in the last survey but down from a high of 29% when Rasmussen Reports first asked this question in late December 2017.

Eighty-two percent (82%) of voters say they have been closely following recent news reports about Trump’s and Biden’s dealings with Ukrainian officials, with 55% who have been following Very Closely.