Big Picture, Not Details, Key When Eyeing Future
As commanding general of the U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC), I am asked not only to predict the future, but also to get it right. When Robert Gates was secretary of defense, he once testified as to the difficulty of this task, stating that the military has a perfect record of getting future predictions wrong.
It would take an unusually high degree of hubris for me to declare that I have seen the future and it is so. For example, who at the end of the Cold War could have foreseen our current operating environment? In fact, who at any period of modern history accurately predicted the world even a decade ahead?
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