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Sunday, January 5, 2020

Terror threat

Trump vulnerable to Iranian revenge in US election year


Who was Qasem Soleimani, the Iranian commander killed by a US airstrike?
Iran may well have calculated that it's better off with a Democrat in the White House and not a Republican like President Donald Trump.
Logically -- and Iran's leaders are intensely pragmatic in that far-sighted way -- Tehran will likely calibrate its vowed "harsh revenge" response to the killing of Qasem Soleimani in a bid to cost Trump re-election.
Part of that calculation is likely to have Iran focus on targets inside the United States as well as in the Middle East, not just to embarrass Trump but to limit regional escalation.
    Hours after the strike Trump said his intention was "to stop a war. We did not take action to start a war." But the President's actions may soon catch up with his words at home -- especially when fighting an election campaign.
    And the President should be aware that while Iran may well start to settle the score quickly, it is also a master of serving revenge up cold.

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