China's population will be down to half by the end of this century?
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Thursday, June 30, 2016
Demographic security
China's population will be down to half by the end of this century?
What scholar Zheng Zhenzhen of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences said at the 2016World Economic Forum has stirred a heated discussion about the Chinese population .According to Zheng , China ’s population will reduce to 1 billion by the end of this century ,just like the volume it had reached by 1980.
However , some experts think a 1 billion population is still a number too optimistic ,considering the overestimate of fertility rates , they point out that the Chinese population may possibly reach 600 million by 2100.
A demography scholar Huang Wenzhen from the University of Wisconsin considers it is impossible that China could still have a 1 billion population by the end of the century . Even assuming with a total open birth policy , the birth rate can be 20 percent higher than the one during 2010 to 2015, and the average life expectancy also keeps increasing , Huang estimated the total population of China in 2100 would be 580 million , and decrease to 280million by 2150.
China's population will be down to half by the end of this century?
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