Busted! Crooked Media Plays With Polling Numbers To Pretend Georgia Is Hillary Country
Now the Atlanta Journal Constitution does the same pretending that Hillary is going to win Georgia.
Polling firms contact registered voters. The number of voters who answer the phone and agree to the survey are put into a number called the “unweighted base.” The polling firm then applies their own “formula” based on who they think is going to vote. In the example below, 278 Republicans in Georgia answered the phone for a poll in May. The AJC’s polling firm thinks that’s too many Republicans, so they move that to 245, “adjusting” the numbers with an “average weighted response.”
2 1/2 months, later, the same polling firm substantially altered their “secret formula.”
Compare these two crosstabs. This is a link to the Aug 1-4 poll. Here is the poll by the same outfit back in May. The first number is the raw data. The second is the weighted sample. Talk about a giant leap!
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